Los efectos de la campaña para las elecciones generales españolas de 2011

  1. García Viñuela, Enrique
Journal:
Cuadernos económicos de ICE

ISSN: 0210-2633

Year of publication: 2013

Issue Title: Temas actuales de economía política

Issue: 85

Pages: 105-122

Type: Article

DOI: 10.32796/CICE.2013.85.6054 DIALNET GOOGLE SCHOLAR lock_openOpen access editor

More publications in: Cuadernos económicos de ICE

Abstract

This paper estimates the effects of the campaign for the 2011 Spanish general election on the results of the three most voted parties: the right of center Popular Party (PP), the Socialist Party (PSOE) and the United Left (IU). Using data from a CIS election panel, I find that the reinforcement of the voting intention reported in the preelection survey was the strongest campaign effect, especially for the PP, the main opposition party and the winner of the election. Voters� age and information level were the personal traits that encouraged reinforcement. On the contrary, changes in ideology and the assessment of party leaders fostered the activation and conversion effects, which were more intense for the two parties on the left, the PSOE and the IU. The conversion effect benefited the IU, while the activation of the ideological vote of its partisans allowed the PSOE to limit the large electoral loss that underwent in the 2011 election

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