Retos para afrontar el cambio climátricoAnálisis de la percepción del riesgo de inundación ante riadas

  1. María Amerigo
  2. Juan Antonio García
  3. Raquel Pérez López
  4. Fernando Talayero
Journal:
Papeles del psicólogo

ISSN: 0214-7823 1886-1415

Year of publication: 2019

Volume: 40

Issue: 3

Pages: 197-204

Type: Article

DOI: 10.23923/PAP.PSICOL2019.2903 DIALNET GOOGLE SCHOLAR lock_openOpen access editor

More publications in: Papeles del psicólogo

Sustainable development goals

Abstract

Climate change requires the designing of strategies that mitigate the damage to people’s daily life. One of the most notable consequences of climate change in the Iberian Peninsula is flooding, the frequency and social and economic impact of which have increased in recent decades. As a result, a change of paradigm in flood risk management has been identified, with the social dimension of the disasters acquiring more importance. This paper presents a review of the theoretical and empirical approaches in relation to flood risk, emphasizing the contributions made in the field of environmental psychology. Two main objectives are pursued: to build an appropriate conceptual framework for the analysis of flood risk and to provide professionals in this field with the necessary practical resources to face problems that require psycho-socioenvironmental intervention

Funding information

Received: 29 January 2019 - Accepted: 15 March 2018 Correspondence: María Amérigo. Facultad de Humanidades. Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha. Plaza de Padilla, 4. 45071 Toledo. España. E-mail: Maria.Amerigo@uclm.es ............ The results presented in this work come from research funded with the MARCoNI (CGL2013-42728-R) and DRAINAGE (CGL2017-83546-C3-1-R) projects, from the State Research Plan of the Government of Spain, and ADApTAR (SBPLY / 17/180501/000416), financed by the Regional Plan of the Regional Government of Castilla-La Mancha.

Funders

    • SBPLY / 17/180501/000416
    • CGL2017-83546-C3-1-R

Bibliographic References

  • Alhakami, A. S., & Slovic, P. (1994). A psychological study of the inverse relationship between perceived risk and perceived benefi t . Risk Analysis, 14, 1085-1096. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1994.tb00080.
  • Amérigo, M. García, J. A., Bodoque, J. M., Díez-Herrero, A., Olcina, J., & Guardiola-Albert, C. (2017). Aportaciones de la Psicología Ambiental a la investigación sobre la percepción del riesgo de inundación: Resultados desde un marco interdisciplinar. En Consejo General de la Psicología de España (Ed.), Libro de capítulos del III Congreso Nacional de Psicología (pp. 226-231), Oviedo: Consejo General de la Psicología de España.
  • Banco Mundial (2010). Informe sobre el desarrollo mundial 2010. Desarrollo y Cambio climático. Madrid: Mundipresa.
  • Bujosa, A., & Rosselló, J. (2011). Cambio climático y estacionalidad turística en España: Un análisis del turismo doméstico de costa. Estudios de Economía Aplicada, 29(3), 863-880. Recuperado de https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=30122405011
  • Binder, C. R., & Schöll, R. (2010). Structured mental model approach for analyzing perception of risks to rural livelihood in developing countries. Sustainability, 2, 1-29. doi: 10.3390/su2010001
  • Bodoque, J. M., Amérigo, M., Díez-Herrero, A., García, J. A., Cortés, B., Ballesteros-Cánovas, J. A., & Olcina, J. (2016). Improvement of resilience of urban areas by integrating social perception in flash-flood risk management. Journal of Hydrology, 541, 665-676. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.02.005
  • Bodoque, J. M., Díez-Herrero, A., Amérigo, M., García, J. A., & Olcina, J. (2019). Enhancing flash flood risk perception and awareness of mitigation actions through risk communication: A pre-post survey design. Journal of Hydrology, 568, 769-779. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.11.007
  • Bubeck, P., Botzen, W. J., & Aerts, J. C. (2012). A review of risk perceptions and other factors that influence flood mitigation behavior. Risk Analysis, 32, 1481-1495. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01783.x
  • Bustillos-Ardaya, A., Evers, M., & Ribbe, L. (2017). What influences disaster risk perception? Intervention measures, flood and landslide risk perception of the population living in flood risk areas in Rio de Janeiro state, Brazil. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 25, 227-237. doi: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2017.09.006.
  • Dake, K. (1992). Myths of nature: Culture and the social construction of risk. Journal of Social Issues, 48, 21-37. doi: 10.1111/j.1540-4560.1992.tb01943.x
  • Douglas, M. (1985). Risk acceptability according to social sciences. New York: Russell Sage.
  • European Environment Agency (EEA, 2017). Climate change impacts and vulnerabil i t ies 2016. Recuperado de http://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/climate-changeimpacts-and-vulnerability-2016
  • Finucane, M. L., Alhakami, A., Slovic, P., & Johnson, S. M. (2000). The affect heuristic in judgments of risks and benefits. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 13, 1-17.
  • Fischhoff, B., Bostrom, A., & Quadrel, M. J. (1993). Risk perception and communication. Annual Review of Public Health, 14, 183-203. doi: 10.1146/annurev.pu.14.050193.001151
  • Fischhoff, B., Slovic, P., Lichtenstein, S., Read, S., & Combs, B. (1978). How safe is safe enough? A psychometric study of attitudes towards technological risks and benefits. Policy Sciences, 8, 127-152. doi: 10.1007/BF00143739
  • Fishbein, M., & Ajzen, I. (1975). Belief, attitude, intention and behavior. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley.
  • Fuchs, S., Karagiorgos, K., Kitikidou, K., Maris, F., Paparrizos, S., & Thaler, T. (2017). Flood risk perception and adaptation capacity: a contribution to the socio-hydrology debate. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 21, 3183-3198. doi: 10.5194/hess-21-3183-2017
  • Garijo, C., Mediero, L., & Garrote, L. (2018). Utilidad de las proyecciones climáticas generadas por AEMET para estudios de impacto del cambio climático sobre avenidas a escala nacional. Ingeniería del Agua, 22, 153-166.
  • González-Gaudiano, E. J., Maldonado-González, A. L., & Cruz-Sánchez, G. E. (2018). The vision of high school students regarding their vulnerability and social resilience to the major adverse effects of climate change in municipalities with a high risk of flooding. Psyecology, 9, 341-364, doi: 10.1080/21711976.2018.1483568
  • Guardiola-Albert, C., Díez-Herrero, A. Amérigo, M., Bodoque, J. M., García, J. A., Naranjo-Fernández, N., & Aroca-Jiménez, E. (en revisión). Analyzing flash flood risk perception through a geostatistical approach in the village of Navaluenga, Central Spain. Journal of Flood Risk Management.
  • Intergovernamental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 2015). Climate change 2014: Synthesis report. Contribution of working groups I, II and III to the fifth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Geneva, Switzerland: IPCC.
  • Jongman, B., Ward, P. J., & Aerts, J. C. J. H. (2012). Global exposure to river and coastal flooding: Long term trends and changes. Global Environmental Change, 22, 823-835. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.07.004
  • Kahneman, D., Slovic, P., & Tversky, A. (1982). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.
  • Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47, 263-291. doi: 10.2307/1914185
  • Kellens, W., Terpstra, T., & De Maeyer, P. (2013). Perception and communication of flood risks: A systematic review of
  • empirical research. Risk Analysis, 33, 24-49. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01844.x
  • Lara, A., Saurí, D., Ribas, A., & Pavón, D. (2010). Social perceptions of floods and flood management in a Mediterranean area (Costa Brava, Spain). Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 10, 2081-2091. doi: 10.5194/nhess-102081-2010
  • Liberman, N., & Trope, Y. (2008). The psychology of transcending the here and now. Science, 322, 1201-1205. doi: 10.1126/science.1161958
  • Luís, S., Pinho, L., Lima, M. L., Roseta-Palma, C., Martins, F. C., & Almeida, A. B. (2016). Is it all about awareness? The normalization of coastal risk. Journal of Risk Research, 19, 810-826. doi: 10.1080/13669877.2015.1042507
  • Ministerio para la Transición Ecológica (MITECO, 2018). Perfil Ambiental de España 2017. Recuperado de https://www.miteco.gob.es/es/calidad-y-evaluacionambiental/publicaciones/pae2017_completo_reducido_tcm 30-484531.pdf
  • Puy, A., & Cortés, B. (2010). Percepción social de los riesgos y comportamientos en los desastres. En J. I. Aragonés y M. Amérigo (Eds.), Psicología ambiental (pp. 355-377). Madrid: Pirámide.
  • Schultz, P. W., Milfont, T. L., Chance, R. C., Tronu, G., Luís, S., Ando, K., … Gouveia, V. V. (2014). Cross-cultural evidence for spatial bias in beliefs about the severity of environmental problems. Environment and Behavior, 46, 267-302. doi: 10.1177/0013916512458579
  • Sivapalan, M., Savenije, H. H. G., & Blöschl, G. (2012). Sociohydrology: A new science of people and water. Hydrological Processes, 8, 1270-1276. doi: 10.1002/hyp.8426
  • Slimak, M. W., & Dietz, T. (2006). Personal values, beliefs, and ecological risk perception. Risk Analysis, 26, 16891705. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00832.x
  • Slovic, P. (2000). The perception of risk. Earthscan. London, UK: Routledge.
  • Terpstra, T., & Lindell, M. K. (2013). Citizens’ perceptions of flood hazard adjustments: an application of the protective action decision model. Environment and Behavior, 45, 9931018. doi: 10.1177/0013916512452427
  • Tierney, K. (2014). Social roots of risk: Producing disaster, promoting resilience. Palo Alto, CA: Stanford University Press.
  • Uzzell, D. L. (2000). The psychospatial dimension of global environmental problem. Journal of Environmental Psychology, 20, 307-318. doi: 10.1006/jevp.2000.0175
  • Van der Pligt, J., Eiser, J. R., & Spears, R. (1986). Attitudes toward the building of a nuclear power station: Familiarity and salience. Environment and Behaviour, 18, 75-93. doi: 10.1177/0013916586181004.