El riesgo de la proliferación nuclear en el Oriente Medio y el auge de las potencias regionales

Abstract

Treaties and agreements to reduce nuclear proliferation in the World are at risk. Both US and Russia have ceased the INF Treaty on Intermediate Nuclear Weapons reduction, and it is quite possible that the New START Treaty on strategic nuclear weapons will follow the same path. In this context, a risk situation is envisaged for the Non-Proliferation Treaty (TNP). This situation has been perceived by countries in the Middle East region, where US sanctions on Iran have renewed again the nuclear debate among the Iranians, who had postponed this option for more than a decade. Saudi Arabia, from her perspective, sees with great concern Iran can resume a nuclear program in a confrontation context. Israel also sees with concern other actors in the region could be endowed with nuclear capacity that it would have possessed in exclusivity until now.