Notas sobre la teoría kaleckiana de la inversión

  1. Cárdenas del Rey, Luis 12
  1. 1 Universidad Internacional Isabel I de Castilla
    info

    Universidad Internacional Isabel I de Castilla

    Burgos, España

    ROR https://ror.org/055sgt471

  2. 2 Universidad Complutense de Madrid
    info

    Universidad Complutense de Madrid

    Madrid, España

    ROR 02p0gd045

Revista:
Cuadernos de economía: Spanish Journal of Economics and Finance

ISSN: 2340-6704 0210-0266

Año de publicación: 2018

Volumen: 41

Número: 115

Páginas: 119-129

Tipo: Artículo

DOI: 10.1016/J.CESJEF.2017.04.002 DIALNET GOOGLE SCHOLAR lock_openBiblos-e Archivo editor

Otras publicaciones en: Cuadernos de economía: Spanish Journal of Economics and Finance

Resumen

En este trabajo se aborda la exposición de la teoría kaleckiana de la inversión con el objetivo de identificar la caracterización del concepto de «rentabilidad esperada» y así destacar los elementos más interesantes para el análisis económico contemporáneo. Para ello se señala la insuficiencia de las teorías del acelerador neoclásico y de la eficiencia marginal del capital (EMC) propuesta por Keynes (1936). Se ofrecen los principales elementos de la función de determinantes de la decisión de invertir, destacados por Kalecki (1956, cap. 9), así como los desarrollos posteriores. Se concluye que esta teoría permite incorporar los efectos de las expectativas, los elementos de inercia, la distribución del ingreso (los beneficios), los efectos de la demanda efectiva (utilización) y los elementos financieros (el principio del riesgo creciente). Estos elementos pueden encontrarse por separado en distintas teorías de la inversión, pero aquí se muestran como un conjunto articulado de ideas que permiten su interacción, ofreciendo mayor profundidad analítica.

Referencias bibliográficas

  • Alexiou, C., 2010. A Keynesian-Kaleckian model of investment determination: A panel data investigation. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics 32, 427-444.
  • Arestis, P., González, A.R., Dejuán, O., 2012. Private productive investment in Spain and the United States. Análise Econômica 30, 30.
  • Arestis, P., Sawyer, M.C., 2006. A Handbook of Alternative Monetary Economics. Edward Elgar Publishing.
  • Asimakopulos, A., 1983. A Kaleckian profits equation and the United States economy, 1950-1982. Metroeconomica 35, 1-27.
  • Asimakopulos, A., 1991. Keynes’s General Theory and Accumulation. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
  • Azofra, V., López, F.J., 1997. Modelos de inversión en activo fijo: determinantes y propuestas. Anales de Estudios Económicos y Empresariales 12, 7-26.
  • Baghestani, H., Mott, T., 2014. Asymmetries in the relation between investment and output. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics 37, 357-365.
  • Bhaduri, A., Marglin, S., 1990. Unemployment and the real wage: The economic basis for contesting political ideologies. Cambridge Journal of Economics 14, 375-393.
  • Bhaskar, V., Glyn, A., 1995. Investment and profitability: The evidence from the advanced capitalist countries. En: Epstein, Gintis (Eds.), Macroeconomic Policy after the Conservative Era. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
  • Blecker, R.A., 2007. The economic consequences of dollar appreciation for US manufacturing investment: A time-series analysis. International Review of Applied Economics 21, 491---517.
  • Blecker, R.A., 2015. Wage-Led Versus Profit-Led Demand Regimes: The Long and the Short of It. Eastern Economic Association, New York, NY, http://nw08.american.edu/∼blecker/research/Blecker LRvsSR EEA2015.pdf.
  • Chirinko, R.S., 1993. Business fixed investment spending: Modeling strategies, empirical results, and policy implications. Journal of Economic Literature 31, 1875-1911.
  • Coad, A., 2010. Neoclassical vs evolutionary theories of financial constraints: Critique and prospectus. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 21, 206-218.
  • Courvisanos, J., 1996. Investment Cycles in Capitalist Economies. A Kaleckian Behavioural Contribution. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK.
  • Courvisanos, J., 2012. Cycles, Crises, Innovation: Path to Sustainable Development A Kaleckian-Schumpeterian Synthesis. Edward Elgar Publishing.
  • Crotty, J.R., 1992. Neoclassical and Keynesian approaches to the theory of investment. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics 14, 483-496.
  • Dutt, A.K., 2006. Maturity, stagnation and consumer debt: A Steindlian approach. Metroeconomica 57, 339-364.
  • Fazzari, S., Hubbard, R.G., Petersen, B.C., 1988. Financing constraints and corporate investment. National Bureau of Economic Research Cambridge, Cambridge, MA.
  • Fazzari, S.M., Mott, T.L., 1987. The investment theories of Kalecki and Keynes: An empirical study of firm data, 1970-1982. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics 9, 171-187.
  • Feiwel, G.R., 1981. Michal Kalecki: contribuciones a la teoría de la política económica. Fondo de Cultura Económica, México.
  • Glyn, A., 1997. Does aggregate profitability really matter? Cambridge Journal of Economics 21, 593-619.
  • Gordon, D.M., 1995. Growth, distribution, and the rules of the game: social structuralist macro foundations for a democratic economic policy. En: Epstein, G.A., Gintis, H.M. (Eds.), Macroeconomic Policy after the Conservative Era. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
  • Hahnel, R., Sherman, H.J., 1982. Income distribution and the business cycle: Three conflicting hypotheses. Journal of Economic Issues 16, 49-73.
  • Hein, E., 2014. Distribution and growth after Keynes: A postKeynesian guide. Edward Elgar Publishing.
  • Hein, E., Ochsen, C., 2003. Regimes of interest rates, income shares, savings and investment: A Kaleckian model and empirical estimations for some advanced OECD economies. Metroeconomica 54, 404-433.
  • Jorgenson, D.W., 1963. Capital theory and investment behavior. The American Economic Review 53, 247-259.
  • Kalecki, M., 1956. Teoría de la dinámica económica: ensayo sobre los movimientos cíclicos ya largo plazo de la economía capitalista. Fondo de Cultura Económica, México.
  • Kalecki, M., 1968. Trend and business cycles reconsidered. The Economic Journal 78, 263-276.
  • Kalecki, M., 1983 [1936]. Algunas observaciones sobre la teoría de Keynes (1936). Investigación Económica 42, 41-51.
  • Kapeller, J., Schütz, B., 2015. Conspicuous consumption, inequality and debt: The nature of consumption-driven profit-led regimes. Metroeconomica 66, 51-70.
  • Keynes, J.M., 1936. The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. Macmillan, London.
  • Laramie, A., Mair, D., Miller, A., 2004. Kalecki’s investment theory reconsidered. En: Szeworski, A. (Ed.), Kalecki’s Economics Today. Routledge, London.
  • Laramie, A.J., Mair, D., Miller, A.G., 2007. Kalecki’s investment theory: A critical realist approach. En: Pressman, H. (Ed.), Empirical Post Keynesian Economics: Looking at the Real World. ME Sharpe.
  • Lavoie, M., Rodriguez, G., Seccareccia, M., 2004. Similitudes and discrepancies in post-keynesian and marxist theories of investment: A theoretical and empirical investigation. International Review of Applied Economics 18, 127-149.
  • López, J., Assous, M., 2010. Michal Kalecki. Palgrave Macmillan, London.
  • López, G., Malagamba, A.S., 2016. The wage-share in an open economy discussing Mexico’s experience. Metroeconomica., en prensa.
  • Mair, D., Charos, E., Kazemi, H., Laramy, A.J., 2013. The determinants of new orders of non-defence capital goods and its relationship to business fixed investment expenditures: 1992 to 2010. European Research Studies 16, 71-92.
  • Marglin, S., Bhaduri, A., 1990. Profit Squeeze and Keynesian Theory. En: Marglin, S.A., Schor, J.B. (Eds.), The Golden Age of Capitalism. Reinterpreting the Postwar Experience. Clarendon Paperbacks.
  • Minsky, H.P., 1975. John Maynard Keynes. Columbia University Press, New York.
  • Mitchell, W.C., 1913. Business Cycles. University of California Press, California.
  • Mott, T., 2009. Kalecki’s Principle of Increasing Risk and Keynesian Economics. Routledge.
  • Nikiforos, M., 2016. On the ‘utilisation controversy’: A theoretical and empirical discussion of the Kaleckian model of growth and distribution. Cambridge Journal of Economics 40, 437-467.
  • Orhangazi, E., 2008. Financialization and the US Economy. Edward Elgar Publishing.
  • Palazuelos Manso, E., Fernández Sánchez, R., 2007. La tasa de beneficio en la dinámica económica de los países europeos, 1984-2003. Estudios de Economía Aplicada 25, 821-826.
  • Perez Caldentey, E., Vernengo, M., 2013. Wage and profit-led growth: The limits to neo-kaleckian models and a kaldorian proposal. Working Paper No. 775, Levy Economics Institute.
  • Robinson, J., 1965. Ensayos sobre la teoría del crecimiento económico. Fondo de Cultura Económica, México.
  • Sawyer, M.C., 1985. The Economics of Michał Kalecki. Eastern European Economics, New York.
  • Schoder, C., 2014. Demand, q, financial constraints and shareholder value revisited: An econometric micro-analysis of US fixed investment. International Journal of Economics and Business Research 7, 28-54.
  • Sherman, H.J., 1991. The Business Cycle: Growth and Crisis under Capitalism. Princeton University Press, Princeton.
  • Steindl, J., 1952. Maturity and stagnation in American capitalism. Blackwell Publishing, Oxford.
  • Stockhammer, E., 2004. Financialisation and the slowdown of accumulation. Cambridge Journal of Economics 28, 719-741
  • Toporowski, J., 2005. Theories of financial disturbance: An examination of critical theories of finance from Adam Smith to the present day. Edward Elgar Publishing.
  • Vaona, A., 2011. Profit rate dynamics, income distribution, structural and technical change in Denmark, Finland and Italy. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 22, 247-268.
  • Weisskopf, T.E., 1979. Marxian crisis theory and the rate of profit in the postwar U.S. economy. Cambridge Journal of Economics 3, 341---378.