Previsión y seguimiento de ocupados por sectores, población activa y parados en España:una comparación de modelos alternativos
ISSN: 2341-2356
Year of publication: 1997
Issue: 21
Pages: 1-21
Type: Working paper
More publications in: Documentos de Trabajo (ICAE)
Abstract
It is shown that both the disaggregation of employment into productive sectors and the study of relationships among the resulting components are relevant tools for obtaining important improvements in forecasting employment and unemployment in Spain. For this purpose, the predictive capacity of a variety of univariate and transfer function models is investigated and compared with the predictive capacity of a multivariate model in which disaggregation and relationships are incorporated.