Interacción de las grandes potencias en Asia Oriental (1)EEUU, la RPC e India

  1. David García Cantalapiedra
Revista:
bie3: Boletín IEEE

ISSN: 2530-125X

Año de publicación: 2024

Número: 32

Páginas: 476-521

Tipo: Artículo

Otras publicaciones en: bie3: Boletín IEEE

Resumen

El papel clave de Estados Unidos en la disputa sobre Taiwán es el mayor ejemplo de que la actuación de las potencias en Asia Oriental es esencial para la región, en primer lugar porque viene marcado por la geopolítica global de nuestros días: la rivalidad estratégica entre China y Estados Unidos. En la misma, los estadounidenses están apostando por las alianzas como el AUKUS, el Quad o el Marco Económico para el IndoPacífico. Una política adjunta a la superioridad tecnológica y militar que Estados Unidos aún mantiene sobre China. Por su parte, China propugna un nuevo orden internacional diferente del liberal surgido tras la II Guerra Mundial, con ideas e iniciativas que introducen nuevas narrativas en la comunidad internacional, en especial atractiva para los países del Sur Global, aunque se acompañe de problemas de deuda externa en el marco de las inversiones y préstamos de la Iniciativa de la Franja y Ruta de la Seda. India, una potencia tradicionalmente no alineada en la política de bloques y que ha estado orientada hacia su vecindario próximo, parece dispuesta a ser un actor relevante en la región, pero ¿conseguirá ser autónoma o se verá arrastrada por la rivalidad chino-norteamericana?

Referencias bibliográficas

  • Abe, Shinzo. (2007), «Confluence of the Two Seas» Speech by H.E.Mr. Shinzo Abe, Prime Minister of Japan at the Parliament of the Republic of India, Ministry of External Affairs. http://www.mofa.go.jp/region/asia-paci/pmv0708/speech-2.html (acceso 4 abril de 2023).
  • Alamgir, Jalal. (2009), India’s Open-Economy Policy: Globalism, Rivalry, Continuity, New York and London: Routledge.
  • Allison, G. (2015) «The Thucydides Trap: Are the U.S. and China Headed for War?», The
  • Aneja, Atul. (2015), ‘Western Elite Wary of India Moving Closer to China’, Hindu. 17 May http://www.thehindu.com/news/international/world/western-elite-wary-of-indiamoving-closer-to-china/article7214803.ece (acceso 4 abril de 2023).
  • Atlantic, 24 de septiembre de 2015. https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2015/09/united-states-china-warthucydides-trap/406756/ (consultado el 5 de marzo de 2018).
  • Australian Government. (2011). Australia-United States Ministerial Consultations 2011. Joint Communiqué.
  • Australian Government. (2013). Defense White Paper 2013. Department of Defense.
  • Australian government. (2016). Defense White Paper 2016. Department of Defense.
  • Bader, J. (2012). Obama and China’s Rise. An Insider’s Account of America’s Asia Strategy. Brookings Institution Press.
  • Brewster, David. (2009), 'India's Strategic Partnership with Vietnam: The Search for a Diamond on the South China Sea?', Asian Security, 5: 1, 24-44.
  • Business Standard. (1997) 'Meet Criticises Gujral Doctrine, Tells Pak To Curb ISI Activities', Business Standard. 9 August http://www.businessstandard.com/article/economy-policy/meet-criticises-gujral-doctrine-tells-pak-to-curb-isiactivities-197080901068_1.html (acceso 4 abril de 2023).
  • Bijian, Z. (2015) «China’s ‘Peaceful Rise’ to Great-Power Status», Foreign Affairs, Sep/Oct, 2005.
  • Chacko, Priya. (2012), Indian Foreign Policy: The Politics of Postcolonial Identity from 1947 to 2004, London and New York: Routledge.
  • Chacko, Priya. (2014), 'The Rise of the Indo-Pacific: Understanding Ideational Change and Continuity in India's Foreign Policy', Australian Journal of International Affairs, 68:4, 433-452.
  • China Daily. «Xi Jinping's report at 19th CPC National Congress», Disponible en: https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/19thcpcnationalcongress/2017- 11/04/content_34115212.htm
  • Clinton, Hilary. (2011a), 'America's Pacific Century', Foreign Policy. 10 November http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/10/11/americas_pacific_century (acceso 4 abril de 2023).
  • Clinton, Hilary. (2011b), Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton On India and the United States: A Vision for the 21st Century, July 20, 2011, IIP Digital. http://iipdigital.usembassy.gov/st/english/texttrans/2011/07/20110720165044su0.71340 14.html#ixzz1UxWVNLPL (acceso 4 abril de 2023).
  • Clinton, H. (2011, 11 de octubre). America’s Pacific Century. The future of politics will be decided in Asia, not Afghanistan or Iraq, and the United States will be right at the center of the action. Foreign Policy.
  • Cowen, Deborah. & Smith, Neil. (2009), 'After Geopolitics? From the Geopolitical Social to Geoeconomics', Antipode, 41:9, 22-48.
  • CSIS. (2007, 16 de febrero). The U.S.-Japan Alliance: Getting Asia Right through 2020.
  • D’Costa, Anthony P. (2003), 'Uneven and Combined Development: Understanding India’s Software Exports', World Development, 31:1, 211-226
  • Deccan Herald. (2015), 'One Belt, One Road Not International Venture: India', Deccan Herald. 21 July. http://www.deccanherald.com/content/490656/one-belt-one-roadnot.html (acceso 4 abril de 2023).
  • Dhar, P.N. (2000), Indira Gandhi, The Emergency and Indian Democracy, (Oxford University Press: New Delhi).
  • Economic Times. (2015), 'If American «Trumpet» Was More Certain in Asia-Pacific, it's Helpful: India', Economic Times. 16 March. http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2015-03-16/news/60174859_1_southchina-sea-asia-pacific-region-asia-pacific (acceso 4 abril de 2023)
  • Elden, Stuart. (2007), 'There is a Politics of Space Because Space is Political', Radical Philosophy Review, 10:2, 101-116.
  • Exim Bank of India. (2012), Catalysing India's Trade and Investment, Export-Import Bank of India. http://www.eximbankindia.com/fore-trade.pdf (acceso 4 abril de 2023).
  • Faleiro, Eduardo. (1992), 'Changing World Order', Foreign Affairs Record, XXXVIII:5, 211-214.
  • Garcia Cantalapiedra, David (2020): «Europa, Occidente y el fin del orden internacional liberal multilateral». Documento Marco IEEE 10/2020. Disponible en: http://www.ieee.es/Galerias/fichero/docs_marco/2020/DIEEEM10_2020DAVGAR_guerr ailimitada.pdf
  • Goswami, Manu. (2004), Producing India: From Colonial Economy To National Space, New Delhi: Permanent Black.
  • Government of India & Governmen of the United States 2015, U.S.-India Joint Strategic Vision for the Asia-Pacific and Indian Ocean Region, White House. https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2015/01/25/us-india-joint-strategic-visionasia-pacific-and-indian-ocean-region (acceso 4 abril de 2023)
  • Government of India. (1999), India's Foreign Relations, 1998-99, Embassy of India, Washington D.C. http://www.indianembassy.org/policy/Foreign_Policy/FP_1999/Introduction_FP_98- 99.html (acceso 4 abril de 2023) .
  • Gupta, Akhil. (1998), Postcolonial Developments: Agriculture in the Making of Modern India, Durham: Duke University Press.
  • Gupta, Anirudha. (1990), 'A Brahmanic Framework of Power in South Asia?', Economic and Political Weekly, 25:14, 711-714.
  • Heath (2013) «Xi Steps Up Efforts to Shape a China-Centered Regional» Order. Diplomacy Work Forum. China Brief Volume 13. Issue 22. November 13, 2007. Disponible en: https://jamestown.org/wpcontent/uploads/2013/11/China_Brief_Vol_13_Issue_22__.pdf?x14008
  • Herrero, R. (2007) La realidad inventada. Percepciones y procesos de toma de decisiones en Política Exterior, Madrid, Plaza y Valdés.
  • IEA. (2022). World Energy Outlook 2022. Paris, International Energy Agency. Disponible en: https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/830fe099-5530-48f2-a7c1- 11f35d510983/WorldEnergyOutlook2022.pdf [Consulta: 10 de marzo de 2023]
  • INSS Special Report. (2000, 11 de octubre). The United States and Japan: Advancing toward a Mature Partnership. Washington D.C.: National Defense University.
  • Integrated Headquarters Ministry of Defence (Navy). (2007), Freedom to use the Seas: India’s Maritime Military Strategy, New Delhi: Ministry of Defence.
  • Jaffrelot, Christophe. (2003), 'India's Look East Policy: An Asianist Strategy in Perspective', Asian Review, 2:2, 35-68.
  • Jaishankar, S. (2015), «India Wants to be a Leading Power Rather than Just a Balancing Power», The Wire. 20 July. http://thewire.in/2015/07/20/india-wants-to-be-aleading-power-rather-than-just-a-balancing-power-6903/ (acceso 4 abril de 2023)
  • Jaishankar, Subrahmanyam. External Affairs Minister in Conversation at Raisina Dialogue 2020: The India Way, 16.01.2020.
  • Jervis, R. (1970) The Logic of Images in International Relations, Princeton, Princeton University Press.
  • Jervis, R. (1976) Perceptions and Misperceptions in International Politics, Princeton University.
  • Jervis, R. (1978) «Cooperation under the Security Dilemma», World Politics, 30, 2. January 1978. pp. 168-214
  • Jessop, Bob. (2003), State Theory: Putting the Capitalist State in its Place, Cambridge: Polity Press.
  • Jessop, Bob. (2010), 'Cultural political economy and critical policy studies', Critical Policy Studies, 3:3-4, 336-356.
  • Kania, Elsa. (2019) «Weaponizing Biotech: How China’s Military Is Preparing for a ‘New Domain of Warfare», Defense One. August 2019. Disponible en: https://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2019/08/chinas-military-pursuing-biotech/159167/
  • Kaplan, R. (2010) Monsoon: The Indian Ocean and the Future of American Power. Random House.
  • Kaplan, R. (2012) The Revenge of Geography. Random House.
  • Kaplan, R. (2014) Asian Cauldron Asia’s Cauldron: The South China Sea and the End to a Stable Pacific. Random House. 2014.
  • Kasturi, Charu Sudan. (2015), 'Call to embrace China projects - Don't Veto Connectivity Plans: Experts', Telegraph. 14 May. http://www.telegraphindia.com/1150514/jsp/nation/story_20029.jsp#.VhPFJvmqqko (acceso 4 abril de 2023)
  • Khilnani, Sunil, Kumar, Rajiv, Mehta, Pratap Bhanu, Menon, Prakash, Nilekani, Nandan, Raghavan, Srinath, Saran, Shyam & Varadarajan, Siddharth 2012, Nonalignment 2.0: A Foreign And Strategic Policy for India in the Twenty First Century, New Delhi: National Defence College and Centre for Policy Research.
  • Khurana, Gurpreet S. (2007), 'Security of Sea Lines: Prospects for India–Japan Cooperation,' Strategic Analysis, 31:1, 139-153.
  • Kohli, Atul. (2004), State-Directed Development: Political Power and Industrialisation in the Global Periphery, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • Kohli, Atul. (2006), 'Politics of Economic Growth in India, 1980-2005: Part I: The 1980s', Economic and Political Weekly, 41:13,1251-1259.
  • Krishna, Sankaran. (1999), Postcolonial Insecurities: India, Sri Lanka, and the Question of Nationhood, Minneapolis and London: University of Minnesota Press.
  • Lavina Lee y John Lee. (2016) «Japan–India Cooperation and Abe’s Democratic Security Diamond: Possibilities, Limitations and the View from Southeast Asia». Contemporary Southeast Asia: A Journal of International and Strategic Affairs, Volume 38, Number 2, August 2016, pp. 284-308
  • Lavina Lee. (2016) «Abe's Democratic Security Diamond and New Quadrilateral Initiative: An Australian Perspective». The Journal of East Asian Affairs, Vol. 30, No. 2 (Fall/Winter 2016), pp. 1-41.
  • Luttwak, Edward. (1990), 'From Geopolitics to Geoeconomics: Logic of Conflict, Grammar of Commerce', The National Interest, 20, 17-23.
  • Mathai, Ranjan. (2012), Speech by Foreign Secretary of India, Mr. Ranjan Mathai at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), Washington DC on February 6, 2012 on «Building on Convergences: Deepening India-U.S. Strategic Partnership», Embassy of India: Washington D.C. http://www.indianembassy.org/prdetail1860/speech-by-foreign-secretary-of-india,-mr.- ranjan-mathai-at-the-center-for-strategic-and-international-studies-(csis),-washingtondc-on-february-6,-2012-on-andquot;building-on-convergences:-deepening-india-u.s.- strategic-partnershipandquot ; (acceso 4 abril de 2023)
  • Mearsheimer, J. (2006) «China’s Unpeaceful Rise».Current History; april 2006; 105, 690; pp.160-162.
  • Mearsheimer, J. (2001) The Tragedy of Great Power Politics, New York, Norton, 2001. Ministry of External Affairs, Reaching New Heights of Cooperation Through Trust and Partnership, India-Russia Joint Statement during visit of Prime Minister to Vladivostok, 05.09.2019.
  • Menon, S. (2011), Speech on 'India and the Global Scene: Prem Bhatia memorial lecture', 11 August. National Maritime Foundation. http://maritimeindia.org/article/indiaand-global-scene (acceso 4 abril de 2023)
  • Menon, Shivshakar. (2013), Speech on 'Sino-Indian rivalry in the Indo-Pacific', Observer Research Foundation. http://www.orfonline.org/cms/export/orfonline/documents/Samudra-Manthan.pdf (acceso 4 abril de 2023)
  • Menon, Shivshanar. (2009), Speech on 'Maritime Imperatives of Indian Foreign Policy (National Maritime Foundation, 11 September 2009)', India Habitat Centre. http://www.indiahabitat.org/download/Maritime_Imperatives.pdf (acceso 4 abril de 2023).
  • Menon, Shivshankar. (2012), Speaking Notes at Workshop on Kautilya - Kautilya Today, Institute for Defence Studies and Analysis. http://www.idsa.in/keyspeeches/ShivshankarMenon_KautilyaToday (acceso 4 abril de 2023)
  • Mitchell, Katharyne. (2004), Crossing The Neoliberal Line: Pacific Rim Migration and the Metropolis, Philadelphia, Pa.: Temple University Press.
  • Mukherji, Rahul. (2008), 'The Political Economy of India's Economic Reforms', Asian Economic Policy Review, 3:2, 315-331.
  • Muppidi, Himadeep. (2004), The Politics of the Global, Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press.
  • NDTV. (2014), 'PM Modi Takes Swipe At China Before Talks With Japanese Premier Abe', NDTV. http://www.ndtv.com/india-news/pm-modi-takes-swipe-at-china-beforetalks-with-japanese-premier-abe-657457 (acceso 4 abril de 2023)
  • Nehru, Jawaharlal. (1961), India's Foreign Policy: Selected Speeches, September 1946-April 1961, Delhi: The Publications Division, Ministry of Information and Broadcasting, Government of India.
  • Nehru, Jawaharlal. 1982 [1946], The Discovery of India, Calcutta: The Signet Press.
  • Nehru, Jawaharlal. 1996 [1934-35], Glimpses of World History: Being Further Letters to His Daughter Written in Prison, and Containing a Rambling Account of History for Young People, (New York: Jawaharlal Nehru Memorial Fund.
  • O’Donnell, F. and Papa, M. (2021)«India’s multi-alignment management and the Russia– India–China (RIC) triangle»,International Affairs 97:3.
  • Office of the Secretary of Defense. (2001, 20 de septiembre). The Quadrennial Defense Review 2001.
  • Parello-Plesner, Jones and Li, Belinda. «The Chinese Communist Party’s Foreign Interference Operations: How the U.S. and Other Democracies Should Respond», Washington, DC: Hudson Institute, 2018.
  • Patranobis, Sutirtho. (2015), 'China Reacts Sharply to India-US Statement on South China Sea Dispute', Hindustan Times. 26 January. http://www.hindustantimes.com/india/china-reacts-sharply-to-india-us-statement-onsouth-china-sea-dispute/story-WOL8UOd3PsG1PMV0qxXaJO.html (acceso 4 abril de 2023).
  • Parameswaran, Prashanth. (2015). ‘India Needs a More Ambitious Foreign Policy, Says Country's Top Diplomat’, Diplomat, 21 July. http://thediplomat.com/2015/07/india-needsa-more-ambitious-foreign-policy-says-countrys-top-diplomat/ (acceso 4 abril de 2023)
  • Pedersen, JØrgen Dige. (2000), 'Explaining economic liberalization in India: state and society perspectives', World Development, 28:2, 265-282.
  • Prime Minister, President of the United States. (2011, 16 de noviembre). AustraliaUnited States Force Posture Initiatives. Office of the Prime Minister of Australia.
  • Pubby, Manu. 2012, 'US says India ‘Lynchpin’ of Rebalancing Strategy', Indian Express. http://www.indianexpress.com/story-print/958842/ (acceso 4 abril de 2023)
  • Randall L. Schweller y Xiaoyu Pu. (2011) «After Unipolarity: China’s Visions of International Order in an Era of U.S. Decline», International Security, Vol. 36, n. 1. (Summer 2011), pp. 41-72.
  • Rao, Nirupama. (2012), Speech on 'Indian Foreign Policy in the 21st Century: Challenges and Opportunities', Hudson Institute. http://www.hudson.org/index.cfm?fuseaction=publication_details&id=8826 (acceso 4 abril de 2023)
  • Rao, Nirupama. (2013), Speech on 'America's «Asian Pivot»: The View from India' (Brown University, February 4, 2013), Brown India Initiative. http://brown.edu/initiatives/india/sites/brown.edu.initiatives.india/files/uploads/Nirupama Rao-America's'AsianPivot'TheViewfromIndia-Brown-IndiaInitiativeSeminar2.4.2013.pdf (acceso 4 abril de 2023)
  • Rumsfeld, D. H. (2004, 23 de septiembre). Testimony. Secretary of Defense Donald H. Rumsfeld before the Senate Armed Services Committee. U.S. Senate. Global Posture. Washington D. C.
  • Sameer Lalwani / Happymon Jacob, «Will India Ditch Russia?»,Foreign Affairs, 24.01.2023.
  • Saran, Shyam. 2011, 'Mapping the Indo-Pacific', Indian Express, 29 October. http://www.indianexpress.com/news/mapping-the-indopacific/867004/ (acceso 4 abril de 2023)
  • Scalapino, Robert. «The Policies of the Post-Mao Era: An Examination of the 11th Party Congress», Asian Survey. Nov. 1977, Vol. 17, No. 11 (Nov. 1977).
  • Schelling, T. (1966) Arms and Influence. Yale University Press.
  • Schelling, T. (1980) The Strategy of Conflict. Harvard. (2nd Edition)
  • Shangri-La Dialogue. (2012, 2 de junio). The U.S. Rebalance Towards the Asia-Pacific: Leon Panetta. The IISS Asia Security Summit.
  • Singh, Manmohan. 2012, PM’s Opening Statement at Plenary Session of India-ASEAN Commemorative Summit, Government of India. http://www.aseanindia.com/pmsopening-statement-at-plenary-session-of-india-asean-commemorative-summit/ (acceso 4 abril de 2023).
  • Singh, Manmohan. 2013, PM’s Address to Japan-India Association, Japan-India Parliamentary Friendship League and International Friendship Exchange Council, Ministry of External Affairs. http://pmindia.nic.in/speech-details.php?nodeid=1319 (acceso 4 abril de 2023)
  • Sinha, Yashwant. 2003, 'When Elephants Move', Outlook. 1 October. http://www.outlookindia.com/article.aspx?221594 (acceso 4 abril de 2023)
  • SIPRI (2023). SIPRI Arms Transfers Database: Importer/Exporter TIV Tables. Disponible en: https://armstrade.sipri.org/armstrade/page/values.php [Consulta: 10 de marzo de 2023]
  • Smith, Stephen. (2011), Speech by Stephen Smith MP Minister for Defence, 'Australia and India Building the Strategic Partnership', at the Asia Society. Mumbai, Department of Defence. http://www.minister.defence.gov.au/2011/12/10/minister-for-defenceaustralia-and-india-building-the-strategic-partnership/ (acceso 4 abril de 2023)
  • Snyder, G. (1984) «The Security Dilemma in Alliance Politics», World Politics, 36, 4. July. pp. 461-2.
  • Sparke, Matthew. 2007, 'Geopolitical Fears, Geoeconomic Hopes, and the Responsibilities of Geography', Annals of the Association of American Geographers,, 97:2, 338–349
  • Sparke, Matthew. 2013, Introducing Globalization: Ties, Tensions, and Uneven Integration, Chichester, West Sussex, UK: Blackwell Publishing.
  • Steinberg, J. B. (2009) «China´s Arrival: The Long March to Global Power». U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Center for a New American Security. 24 September 2009.
  • The Secretary of Defense (1998). The United States Security Strategy for the East AsiaPacific Region. East Asian Strategy Report 1998. The Secretary of Defense. Washington.
  • Turn Your Eyes to China. Premier Wen. December 10, 2003, speech at Harvard University, People’s Daily Online, December 12, http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/200312/12/eng20031212_130267.shtm
  • Unnithan, Sandeep. (2011), 'Lone Dissenter', India Today. 11 April. http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/defence-minister-a-k-antony-reins-in-military-ties-withthe-us/1/134697.html (acceso 4 abril de 2023)
  • U.S. Department of Defense, United States Security Strategy for the East Asia-Pacific Region (February 1995). http://www.ioc.utokyo.ac.jp/~worldjpn/documents/texts/JPUS/19950227.O1E.html
  • U.S.-China Economic and Security Review. Commission. «China’s Overseas United Front Work. Background and Implications for the United. States», August 24, 2018. Disponible en: https://www.uscc.gov/sites/default/files/Research/China's%20Overseas%20United%20 Front%20Work%20- %20Background%20and%20Implications%20for%20US_final_0.pdf
  • Varadarajan, Siddharth. (2015). 'China or US? India Must Have a Master Strategy in this Poker Game', Hindustan Times. 29 January. http://www.hindustantimes.com/htview/china-or-us-india-must-have-a-master-strategy-in-this-poker-game/storySMr6R3YG9BjDPKJOGNd71J.html (Consultado 4 abril de 2023).
  • Waltz, K. (1979) Theory of International Politics, Addison-Westley.
  • Xi Jinping Address at the Conference.The Central Conference on Work Relating to Foreign Affairs. Beijing. 2014/11/29.
  • Xinhua News Agency (2004) «Full Text of Chinese Premier’s Press Conference», March 14, 2004, Disponible en: http://english.people.com.cn/200403/15/eng20040315_137493.shtml
  • Zoellick, R. (2005) «Whither China: from Membership to Responsibility», National Committee on US-China Relations. 21 September.