Deuda pública, desigualdad y desarrollo en Méxicoevidencia estatal y municipal: Public debt, inequality and development in Mexico: state and municipal evidence

  1. Gómez López, Claudia Susana 1
  2. Jiménez Rico, Artemio 2
  3. Negrete García, Ana Karen 3
  1. 1 Universidad de Guanajuato
    info

    Universidad de Guanajuato

    Guanajuato, México

    ROR https://ror.org/058cjye32

  2. 2 Universidad de Gunajuato
  3. 3 Colegio de San Benedicto
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Revista:
Ensayos Revista de Economía

ISSN: 2448-8402

Ano de publicación: 2024

Título do exemplar: July 2024; iv-v

Volume: 43

Número: 2

Páxinas: 135-164

Tipo: Artigo

DOI: 10.29105/ENSAYOS43.2-2 DIALNET GOOGLE SCHOLAR lock_openAcceso aberto editor

Outras publicacións en: Ensayos Revista de Economía

Resumo

El artículo analiza la relación de la adquisición de deuda pública con la desigualdad y el desarrollo económico. Específicamente, utiliza la tasa de crecimiento de deuda pública, el Índice de Gini y el Índice de Rezago Social como variables. Considera 31 entidades federativas de la República mexicana y 2414 municipios desde 2010 hasta el 2018. La metodología de convergencia absoluta y condicional y datos de panel deriva en los siguientes resultados: (I) bajo la hipótesis de convergencia condicional, los estados y municipios de México se acercaron en términos de la deuda pública per cápita en el periodo 2010-2018. La velocidad de acercamiento es mayor en los estados que en los municipios, (II) la convergencia condicional indica que la desigualdad explica de manera significativa la tasa de crecimiento de la deuda pública en los estados, pero no en los municipios, (III) el modelo de datos de panel destaca que, para seis de las ocho regiones geográficas en México, la desigualdad es importante para explicar el aumento de la deuda municipal a lo largo del tiempo. Además, en el caso de las regiones centro-norte y noreste, el Índice de Rezago Social explica significativamente la evolución de la deuda per cápita y (IV) los modelos estimados muestran diferencias regionales a lo largo del tiempo. En el caso de la región suroeste, que incluye tres de los estados con mayor rezago social, ninguno de los modelos contemplados explica la evolución de la deuda pública per cápita.

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